PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9152E4C81C58179949DE32d375efa2cB3a4369a5-1768161107298

0x9152e4c81c58179949de32d375efa2cb3a4369a5

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$46.5k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8800.895$1.3k+$22.50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9320.976$1.2k+$55.78
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · No0.8920.905$1.2k+$17.18
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9030.925$990.33+$23.48
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.9130.940$933.52+$26.79
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9240.925$647.50+$0.50
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.875$119.00+$12.92
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? · No0.8920.954$75.68+$4.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 08:59Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.971$1.5k
09-23 12:19Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?BUY0.89$881.83
09-23 12:17Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.985$3.2k
09-19 09:40US congress stock trading ban before 2027?SELL0.95$36.11
08-21 10:40Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.95$76.00
08-15 14:50Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.81$118.37
07-15 11:22US congress stock trading ban before 2027?BUY0.85$34.00
07-09 10:26US congress stock trading ban before 2027?BUY0.92$12.70
07-09 10:25US congress stock trading ban before 2027?BUY0.92$95.68
06-25 07:20Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?SELL0.997$49.85
06-24 12:34Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?SELL0.997$49.85
06-24 07:49Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?SELL0.997$39.88
06-24 07:49Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?SELL0.997$39.88
04-02 06:48Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.8499998878$3.03
03-10 16:02Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.997$179.46