Nothingla
0x9132386dc60d675e9aecd7c0a68336e3ca814361
- Realised P&L
- $-742.26
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $124.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.18at 0.699Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$42.00at 0.860Bucks vs. Celtics
- +$0.60at 0.994Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$0.60at 0.994Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$0.50at 0.999Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 21:23 | Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999952 | $12.53 |
| 09-19 07:06 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.9889999996 | $12.10 |
| 08-14 03:45 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.75 |
| 07-12 03:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $11.42 |
| 06-07 20:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.981 | $10.79 |
| 05-03 05:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 04-06 20:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 04-06 20:17 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.619 | $61.90 |
| 04-06 20:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $45.55 |
| 03-27 22:00 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.997 | $50.85 |
| 03-27 21:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 03-27 21:56 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 03-27 21:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 03-27 21:55 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 03-27 21:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |