jayhawkjeff
0x910a9e03ab78ca08324ea381f3d125828da391a9
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $342.1k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$809.90at 0.120Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?
- +$670.24at 0.410Will Trump say "Pipeline" or "Road" during Taoiseach events?
- +$524.40at 0.120Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
- +$444.38at 0.320Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
- +$295.68at 0.210Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Producer of Documentary Film at the 37th PGA Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:16 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $781.46 |
| 04-23 10:12 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $412.97 |
| 04-23 09:05 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $771.93 |
| 04-21 03:08 | Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $684.94 |
| 04-21 03:07 | Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $268.12 |
| 04-13 17:03 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.90 |
| 04-13 10:12 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.74 |
| 04-13 09:21 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $683.28 |
| 04-13 08:39 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $683.28 |
| 04-13 06:38 | Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? | BUY | 0.105 | $60.59 |
| 04-13 06:27 | Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $872.08 |
| 04-12 21:34 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SELL | 0.48 | $325.44 |
| 04-12 21:33 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SELL | 0.48 | $25.92 |
| 04-12 21:19 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $448.05 |
| 04-12 21:17 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $309.72 |