PolyBot

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Traders

EricTime

0x90f8bf728d9c4c0c295e7689cad620dd4a6dc12b

Realised P&L
$-74.74
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$111.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9440.977$20.69+$0.69
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7900.961$12.16+$2.16
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.8900.945$10.62+$0.62
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9330.980$10.50+$0.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9370.981$10.46+$0.46
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.976$10.38+$0.38
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9550.981$10.27+$0.27
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9690.991$10.22+$0.22
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9690.984$10.15+$0.15
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? · Yes0.4620.270$5.85−$4.15
Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$9.80
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 01:04US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.92$11.35
09-15 01:03Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.943$11.09
09-15 01:03Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.86$21.23
09-09 17:42Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0027632706$5.00
09-09 17:41Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,900?BUY0.9679999543$10.00
07-19 10:48Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$5.00
07-19 10:48Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0068248058$5.00
07-19 10:47Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$5.00
07-18 06:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.49$9.80
07-01 00:11Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?SELL0.98$39.20
06-27 03:48Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.61$22.31
06-27 03:48Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?BUY0.85$34.00
06-27 03:37Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?SELL0.150735$12.06
06-27 03:36Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.99$11.87
06-26 15:03Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?BUY0.26$20.80