EricTime
0x90f8bf728d9c4c0c295e7689cad620dd4a6dc12b
- Realised P&L
- $-74.74
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $111.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.01at 0.192US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.61at 0.420Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$4.96at 0.855Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
- +$4.57at 0.639Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$3.51at 0.481Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:04 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $11.35 |
| 09-15 01:03 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.943 | $11.09 |
| 09-15 01:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.86 | $21.23 |
| 09-09 17:42 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0027632706 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 17:41 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,900? | BUY | 0.9679999543 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 10:48 | Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 10:48 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0068248058 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 10:47 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 06:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-01 00:11 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17? | SELL | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 06-27 03:48 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.61 | $22.31 |
| 06-27 03:48 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 06-27 03:37 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17? | SELL | 0.150735 | $12.06 |
| 06-27 03:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 06-26 15:03 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.80 |