PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ineedmassage

0x90f7180856b033ea45200d892a7bc49fd1662501

Realised P&L
$21.2k
Volume
$1.74M
Markets traded
1,088
Open portfolio
$14.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,088
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? · No0.7440.885$3.8k+$609.43
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.854$2.4k+$895.13
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.930$1.9k+$143.04
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · No0.9720.959$718.32$10.12
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.6920.817$656.29+$100.26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9240.935$514.25+$5.75
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9440.953$509.89+$4.55
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · No0.6820.930$335.89+$89.48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.945$335.48+$26.63
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3860.502$318.41+$73.56
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.935$308.46+$11.55
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? · No0.8350.860$284.99+$8.13
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7490.915$219.84+$39.89
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · No0.9030.972$194.30+$13.70
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.945$189.00+$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:38Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.944$303.38
09-14 21:13Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?SELL0.88$41.36
09-13 13:29Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?SELL0.8717019334$210.10
09-11 13:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$348.25
09-10 11:52Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?SELL0.8755194805$269.66
09-08 15:52Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?SELL0.91$45.67
09-08 13:06Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?SELL0.8534771938$142.58
09-08 12:04Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?SELL0.8818018018$97.88
09-08 12:04Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?SELL0.9163956008$169.15
09-08 12:04Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?SELL0.9074907987$98.63
09-08 12:04Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?BUY0.7666750146$890.85
09-08 12:03Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.0036481134$0.35
08-31 12:10Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?BUY0.616870229$80.81
08-26 17:18Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8$25.78
08-26 17:18Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8$65.60