ineedmassage
0x90f7180856b033ea45200d892a7bc49fd1662501
- Realised P&L
- $21.2k
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 1,088
- Open portfolio
- $14.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,088
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.529US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.591Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.519US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.723Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.490Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:38 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.944 | $303.38 |
| 09-14 21:13 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $41.36 |
| 09-13 13:29 | Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? | SELL | 0.8717019334 | $210.10 |
| 09-11 13:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $348.25 |
| 09-10 11:52 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | SELL | 0.8755194805 | $269.66 |
| 09-08 15:52 | Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $45.67 |
| 09-08 13:06 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | SELL | 0.8534771938 | $142.58 |
| 09-08 12:04 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? | SELL | 0.8818018018 | $97.88 |
| 09-08 12:04 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? | SELL | 0.9163956008 | $169.15 |
| 09-08 12:04 | Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? | SELL | 0.9074907987 | $98.63 |
| 09-08 12:04 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | BUY | 0.7666750146 | $890.85 |
| 09-08 12:03 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.0036481134 | $0.35 |
| 08-31 12:10 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | BUY | 0.616870229 | $80.81 |
| 08-26 17:18 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $25.78 |
| 08-26 17:18 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $65.60 |