0x90f444F7c4a08FDC601Bc9657d56AC9E656E98E2-1772474390742
0x90f444f7c4a08fdc601bc9657d56ac9e656e98e2
- Realised P&L
- $540.64
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.44at 0.754Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$157.13at 0.770Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$64.45at 0.546Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
- +$59.60at 0.514Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$45.70at 0.871Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:50 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.988 | $109.88 |
| 09-12 21:41 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 21:40 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 21:40 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 21:39 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8006286408 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 09:12 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 08:56 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.0182664227 | $98.82 |
| 09-12 08:45 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0243628369 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 06:26 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0383056563 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 04:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.51 | $246.07 |
| 09-08 21:40 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $217.02 |
| 09-08 13:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.54 | $86.84 |
| 09-06 13:34 | Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.6707657909 | $60.00 |
| 09-03 10:59 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9339999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-01 18:46 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8042082729 | $110.00 |