JimmyT323
0x90c28d24f4381cc2a3665529021435c1f030fde0
- Realised P&L
- $-303.86
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $302.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.00at 0.080US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$154.29at 0.280Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$113.33at 0.150US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$-20.00at 0.070Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
- +$-20.00at 0.110Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-14 18:22 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.2419999838 | $9.00 |
| 01-14 18:20 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.2449441469 | $25.00 |
| 01-14 15:02 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 16:12 | Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18) | BUY | 0.701188792 | $40.00 |
| 01-12 16:07 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 16:05 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1294219964 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 16:04 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0829999963 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 16:02 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0567799106 | $20.00 |
| 01-10 19:19 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.06 | $21.00 |
| 01-07 00:39 | Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1483716159 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 00:39 | Remote IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 00:38 | xAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0744189508 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 00:38 | Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 01-07 00:37 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.4736904383 | $20.00 |
| 01-06 19:43 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.00 |