WINMALE
0x90817debc5c77bb6fc1e645b84b775d042134774
- Realised P&L
- $334.74
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $379.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.68at 0.587Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$60.52at 0.203Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
- +$44.57at 0.322Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
- +$10.67at 0.069China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- +$9.11at 0.180China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:04 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | SELL | 0.5554971164 | $160.86 |
| 09-13 02:04 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.0642172523 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 01:24 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3253746663 | $93.83 |
| 09-11 15:07 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3222108535 | $12.41 |
| 09-11 15:02 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 09-11 15:01 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 09-11 14:59 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $70.40 |
| 09-11 14:57 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $8.99 |
| 09-11 14:57 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $8.99 |
| 09-11 14:23 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.037 | $0.74 |
| 09-11 14:15 | OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.40 |
| 09-11 14:12 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 09-11 14:12 | Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.31 |
| 09-11 14:11 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $14.80 |
| 09-11 13:57 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |