gaining99
0x90593ac86229134bc089ea6aabc7161e8dfd119d
- Realised P&L
- $255.49
- Volume
- $83.3k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $13.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.768 | 0.958 | $6.23 | +$1.23 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.735 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.255 | $1.74 | −$1.26 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) · Della Maddalena | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ole Miss vs. Georgia · Georgia | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.99at 0.743Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
- +$204.31at 0.160Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
- +$41.51at 0.960No Israel strike on Iran by Sunday?
- +$29.50at 0.710Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?
- +$7.46at 0.940Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 23:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 11:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 11:36 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.7679998894 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 11:35 | Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 11:34 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 01-01 04:15 | Ole Miss vs. Georgia | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 01-01 04:13 | Alabama vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 01-01 04:13 | Jazz vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 01-01 04:12 | Celtics vs. Kings | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 01-01 04:12 | Rockets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 11-15 04:23 | Will France win on 2025-11-16? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 11-15 04:23 | Will England win on 2025-11-16? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.00 |
| 11-15 04:22 | Will Portugal win on 2025-11-16? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.00 |
| 11-15 04:22 | Will Austria win on 2025-11-15? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 11-15 04:22 | Will Spain win on 2025-11-15? | BUY | 0.809999985 | $7.00 |