SerenaStaker
0x9047f8865ed6d3b6be5fd616df09c6889ced82a3
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $119.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.670Clippers vs. Magic
- +$3.8kat 0.270Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
- +$2.3kat 0.730UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$2.2kat 0.740Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans
- +$1.5kat 0.790Warriors vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 09:46 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.45 | $99.00 |
| 06-08 09:40 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.93 | $74.40 |
| 06-08 09:40 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.929 | $46.45 |
| 06-08 01:50 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $18.80 |
| 06-08 01:49 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $102.00 |
| 05-11 01:09 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.972 | $113.72 |
| 05-10 13:44 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $70.35 |
| 05-10 12:16 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.97 |
| 05-10 12:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.42 |
| 05-10 08:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.5 | $80.72 |
| 03-17 11:53 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $17.15 |
| 03-17 11:52 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $101.46 |
| 02-25 05:02 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.964 | $192.80 |
| 02-25 04:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 02-25 04:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |