PolyBot

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Traders

SerenaStaker

0x9047f8865ed6d3b6be5fd616df09c6889ced82a3

Realised P&L
$13.6k
Volume
$119.0k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$779.50+$279.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$220.50$279.50
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? · Yes0.9301.000$130.00+$9.15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7900.935$119.68+$18.56
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.550$82.50$19.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8420.962$57.69+$7.19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7000.895$12.79+$2.79
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.025$9.80$9.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.30
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00$43.50
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00$40.49
Knicks vs. Raptors · Raptors0.3600.000$0.00$900.00
Jazz vs. Pistons · Jazz0.2100.000$0.00$1.8k
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? · No0.2600.000$0.00$2.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 09:46Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.45$99.00
06-08 09:40Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.93$74.40
06-08 09:40Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.929$46.45
06-08 01:50Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.047$18.80
06-08 01:49Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$102.00
05-11 01:09Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.972$113.72
05-10 13:44MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.35$70.35
05-10 12:16MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.41$6.97
05-10 12:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?SELL0.57$3.42
05-10 08:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.5$80.72
03-17 11:53Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.66$17.15
03-17 11:52Iran leadership change by March 31?BUY0.89$101.46
02-25 05:02Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.964$192.80
02-25 04:41Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February?BUY0.998$9.98
02-25 04:41Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?BUY0.992$9.92