zhuxioming
0x9006fbaf0e0ab761da99cf30eee57efebc4ae4d9
- Realised P&L
- $-12.49
- Volume
- $47.4k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $36.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.47at 0.653Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.84at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.64at 0.975Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$1.31at 0.013Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.00at 0.800Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 07:42 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:42 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 07:41 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:41 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9609999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 07:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:40 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $9.81 |
| 08-29 10:02 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 10:02 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 10:02 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 10:02 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:01 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.7349999228 | $1.00 |