trader-8fff0181
0x8fff01819bd9fa175cc2c8feab5ba3730a770482
- Realised P&L
- $4.43
- Volume
- $80.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,128
- Open portfolio
- $121.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,128
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $25.01 | +$0.03 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · No | 0.990 | 0.994 | $19.87 | +$0.07 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.905 | 0.967 | $19.33 | +$1.23 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.385 | 0.365 | $18.95 | −$1.05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.145 | $15.54 | +$1.61 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.927 | 0.955 | $14.32 | +$0.42 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.022 | $3.35 | −$0.38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.015 | $2.94 | −$3.75 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.895 | $2.46 | +$0.12 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.38at 0.010Will Chungbuk Cheongju FC vs. Suwon Bluewings end in a draw?
- +$108.17at 0.130Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$98.12at 0.839Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$64.17at 0.640US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$50.56at 0.108Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:56 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $9.76 |
| 08-05 20:51 | National Bank Open: Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.48 | $9.80 |
| 08-05 16:07 | Set 1 Winner: Estevez vs Osorio | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-05 11:27 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $5.21 |
| 08-05 09:08 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.22 |
| 08-05 07:50 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.16 |
| 08-04 18:40 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:23 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $16.37 |
| 08-04 15:22 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.00660012 | $0.33 |
| 08-04 04:16 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.82 |
| 08-03 23:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.19 |
| 08-01 16:38 | Exact Score: Chungbuk Cheongju FC 2 - 3 Suwon Bluewings? | SELL | 0.993 | $13.08 |
| 08-01 16:38 | Exact Score: Chungbuk Cheongju FC 2 - 2 Suwon Bluewings? | SELL | 0.812 | $17.10 |
| 08-01 16:38 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:05 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |