PolyBot

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Traders

0x8fe685eb783a1e34381adcfd13111fda8f2deca0

0x8fe685eb783a1e34381adcfd13111fda8f2deca0

Realised P&L
$33.81
Volume
$848.19
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$97.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8910.871$23.47−$0.55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.845$19.65−$0.35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.1610.130$19.32−$4.70
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1700.155$18.24−$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? · Yes0.4660.300$6.17−$3.42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1530.155$6.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? · Yes0.9981.000$5.06+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 07:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.4699999938$6.04
10-09 07:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.46$2.63
10-09 07:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.46$0.92
10-09 07:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?BUY0.998$5.05
10-08 14:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1609999996$24.02
10-08 13:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-08 13:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-05 15:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.847$10.86
10-05 14:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.847$21.18
10-04 13:03Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8909999876$24.02
10-04 13:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6349999942$24.02
10-01 08:13Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.5699999879$17.86
10-01 08:11Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.57$5.70
10-01 08:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.460355662$7.16
10-01 08:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.48$2.40