Skallarap2
0x8fd50deb56efa6ae93064476f6b19c08efea17cb
- Realised P&L
- $-48.22
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 395
- Open portfolio
- $154.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded395
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.04at 0.116Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$17.00at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 26?
- +$13.43at 0.312Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 25?
- +$7.98at 0.213Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?
- +$7.00at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 06:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.792 | $4.84 |
| 10-17 06:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.83 |
| 10-17 02:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 02:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8169998719 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 23:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 17:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 17:09 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 11:21 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 17:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-12 17:45 | Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.109525 | $0.88 |
| 10-12 14:04 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.899999928 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 14:03 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.92 |
| 10-12 14:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.98 |
| 10-11 21:12 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.99 |
| 10-11 21:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.53 |