PolyBot

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Traders

Skallarap2

0x8fd50deb56efa6ae93064476f6b19c08efea17cb

Realised P&L
$-48.22
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
395
Open portfolio
$154.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded395
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7480.745$44.62−$0.18
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.9070.905$30.94−$0.06
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6470.751$23.38+$3.23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$18.71+$0.10
Plague case in US by December 31? · No0.8950.925$12.40+$0.40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9480.925$11.70−$0.30
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · No0.9330.972$4.86+$0.19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? · Yes0.6800.650$3.25−$0.15
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.2120.290$2.74+$0.73
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6350.645$2.03+$0.03
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Project Conquerors (BO5) - LFL Promotion · ZYB Esport0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In · FULL SENSE0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · Gen.G0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 06:55Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?SELL0.792$4.84
10-17 06:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?SELL0.2$0.83
10-17 02:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-17 02:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.8169998719$5.00
10-16 23:10NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-14 17:09NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
10-14 17:09Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-13 11:21Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-12 17:50NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$14.80
10-12 17:45Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.109525$0.88
10-12 14:04Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.899999928$10.00
10-12 14:03U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?SELL0.06$0.92
10-12 14:03Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.9$0.98
10-11 21:12Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.99
10-11 21:10Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?SELL0.29$4.53