PolyBot

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Traders

John.Gault

0x8fa09944c991735a0b170749219efedca35f72d6

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$91.3k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5360.935$524.77+$223.76
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8850.925$370.00+$16.00
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · No0.3980.775$263.25+$128.13
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8600.979$195.70+$23.70
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.895$178.99+$23.00
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · No0.4350.635$127.00+$40.00
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · No0.4940.135$114.75−$305.25
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.9000.976$97.55+$7.55
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · No0.9470.969$96.90+$2.20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8900.945$94.50+$5.50
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.940$93.99+$16.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.935$93.50+$4.50
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.935$93.50+$18.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.905$90.50+$8.50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.895$89.53+$8.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 20:19Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.501$6.14
10-30 20:10Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.59$59.00
10-30 19:37Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.545$7.63
10-30 18:34Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.5030588$25.15
10-30 17:41Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.4987$49.87
10-30 17:39Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.4398913043$40.47
10-30 17:39Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.42694$42.69
10-30 17:04Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.4227692308$32.98
10-30 17:03Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.422$42.20
10-30 17:03Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.4202857143$29.42
10-30 17:01Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.415$20.75
10-30 17:00Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.398$23.88
08-26 01:59Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8897588106$134.06
08-16 04:10UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.7877321179$100.00
08-16 04:04UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.709999998$100.00