John.Gault
0x8fa09944c991735a0b170749219efedca35f72d6
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $91.3k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.635Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$876.14at 0.484Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
- +$539.94at 0.879Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$400.00at 0.200Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
- +$296.00at 0.753Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:19 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.501 | $6.14 |
| 10-30 20:10 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 10-30 19:37 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.545 | $7.63 |
| 10-30 18:34 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.5030588 | $25.15 |
| 10-30 17:41 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.4987 | $49.87 |
| 10-30 17:39 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.4398913043 | $40.47 |
| 10-30 17:39 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.42694 | $42.69 |
| 10-30 17:04 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.4227692308 | $32.98 |
| 10-30 17:03 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.422 | $42.20 |
| 10-30 17:03 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.4202857143 | $29.42 |
| 10-30 17:01 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.415 | $20.75 |
| 10-30 17:00 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.398 | $23.88 |
| 08-26 01:59 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8897588106 | $134.06 |
| 08-16 04:10 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7877321179 | $100.00 |
| 08-16 04:04 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |