PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8f55785f2fa5c2518d4eaed098bde8fff545f203

Realised P&L
$26.84
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$228.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 18:18Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999981$9.64
09-08 21:49Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.8499999957$9.94
09-08 21:18Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?BUY0.7299999853$9.91
09-08 18:26Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?BUY0.7199999942$9.91
09-08 16:55Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.8399999966$9.94
09-07 06:37Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.5695485886$9.82
09-07 06:34Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.52$5.94
09-06 17:09Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.97$9.94
09-06 15:29Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?BUY0.459999984$9.77
09-06 11:24Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?BUY0.459999984$9.77
09-05 16:13Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?BUY0.4299999793$9.77
09-01 20:12Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.869999993$9.94
08-29 23:59Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.519999983$9.78
08-29 12:17Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?BUY0.95$9.94
08-26 01:07Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.7028786197$9.87