PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

300PS

0x8f41129e43ebfbfe6075d0804f3b2bb763b3260e

Realised P&L
$12.4k
Volume
$58.43M
Markets traded
3,401
Open portfolio
$33.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,401
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.935$4.4k+$166.17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7790.830$2.5k+$152.22
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.945$2.4k+$98.10
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9390.945$1.9k+$11.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7640.855$1.3k+$136.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.835$1.0k$30.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8720.885$885.00+$13.00
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8410.867$764.29+$23.35
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.7280.735$735.00+$7.01
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2130.315$605.53+$195.92
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.595$594.99$75.00
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · No0.9150.945$567.00+$18.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9480.977$555.85+$16.32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7610.765$535.72+$3.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4500.685$479.48+$164.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:09Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.923$61.55
09-16 15:58Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)BUY0.61$103.09
09-16 14:26Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.004$1.34
09-16 08:11Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBUY0.44$33.37
09-16 07:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$60.00
09-15 21:53Counter-Strike: Just Players vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageBUY0.65$29.25
09-15 16:51Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageBUY0.22$22.00
09-15 10:36Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.39$104.91
09-14 19:54US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.051$10.20
09-14 18:56Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.29$1.53
09-14 13:22Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)BUY0.57$8.14
09-14 10:42Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBUY0.35$45.50
09-14 07:29Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group ABUY0.49$12.25
09-14 07:10Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.054$1.29
09-13 19:14Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.74$171.68