baddabingg420
0x8ef4c7cb5cd80c10a1a5269b4666769c81797967
- Realised P&L
- $-140.17
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 966
- Open portfolio
- $8.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded966
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.59at 0.094Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)
- +$6.69at 0.130Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?
- +$6.57at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 25?
- +$5.90at 0.145Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?
- +$4.83at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 18:18 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:16 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.003074818 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1104633296 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:51 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 11:51 | LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 20:05 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 20:03 | Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.59 |
| 09-22 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.964 | $2.47 |
| 09-22 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 21:48 | Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.21 |