phantasys
0x8e91643b94b5a41564d9a7a302bc7c576f463335
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $1.33M
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.105 | $630.05 | −$2.34 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.055 | $440.05 | −$500.49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.040 | $400.00 | −$348.77 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.015 | $52.51 | −$448.81 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.003 | $37.53 | −$475.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.009 | $13.50 | −$19.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.007 | $11.25 | −$23.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.009 | $10.80 | −$16.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $3.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.44 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.080Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
- +$2.6kat 0.009Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$1.5kat 0.020Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?
- +$1.5kat 0.017Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?
- +$1.2kat 0.023Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 09-16 17:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.019 | $9.50 |
| 09-16 17:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.019 | $13.30 |
| 09-16 17:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 11:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.033 | $9.90 |
| 09-16 11:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.025 | $12.50 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.025 | $12.50 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.045 | $18.00 |
| 09-16 11:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.044 | $4.40 |
| 09-16 11:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 09:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 08:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.022 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 03:21 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0050235059 | $17.08 |
| 09-16 03:21 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.60 |