phantasys
0x8e91643b94b5a41564d9a7a302bc7c576f463335
- Realised P&L
- $987.00
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $169.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.021 | $107.51 | +$39.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.115 | $34.56 | +$11.52 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $27.50 | −$6.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.080Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
- +$2.6kat 0.009Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$1.5kat 0.020Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?
- +$1.5kat 0.017Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?
- +$1.2kat 0.023Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 06:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 10-31 06:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0116314 | $1.74 |
| 10-31 06:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $15.75 |
| 10-31 06:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $26.60 |
| 10-31 06:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.0139755935 | $21.66 |
| 10-31 06:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $18.86 |
| 10-29 04:16 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 06:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 15:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.013998 | $34.99 |
| 10-16 06:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 10-16 06:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16? | SELL | 0.0072272727 | $0.79 |
| 10-15 14:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 10-14 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.36 |
| 10-14 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.03 |