PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Liam020226

0x8e813a6751cc37bdf86e4d9725b209c5f2d4258d

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$233.8k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.8160.950$582.00+$82.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.4000.775$193.75+$93.75
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3800.655$172.37+$72.37
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0500.030$120.00$80.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$65.00$105.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0920.035$38.48$61.52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.095$38.00$62.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2200.068$18.44$41.56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0570.010$6.09$28.91
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00$180.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.6900.000$0.00$200.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$100.00
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · Yes0.6870.000$0.00$555.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$20.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 07:47Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.0899999992$100.00
07-19 07:44Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5BUY0.0899999996$200.00
07-19 07:44Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5BUY0.1399999995$200.00
07-16 07:12Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.2699999968$55.70
07-16 07:12Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199999994$300.00
07-16 07:11Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
07-14 09:50Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3125$100.00
07-14 09:50Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4075000017$100.00
07-11 22:40Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.3074999979$100.00
07-11 21:49Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2074999987$100.00
07-10 21:05Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.9975$325.71
07-10 21:04Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5774999993$200.00
07-10 16:40Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6124999993$200.00
07-07 21:34Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
07-07 13:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1789999983$80.00