Shingar
0x8daad538aee2020a78e7df55ff9cad801a709e36
- Realised P&L
- $-138.68
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $283.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.86at 0.281Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?
- +$25.45at 0.440Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$23.71at 0.297Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?
- +$21.19at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?
- +$17.74at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 17:16 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 16:51 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 13:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $7.14 |
| 07-18 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 08:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999648 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 15:13 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $6.92 |
| 06-28 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.5216382909 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.0810000066 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.0979999177 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 18:58 | Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.04 |
| 06-23 14:02 | Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 15:25 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.0063709485 | $1.00 |