LuckyMaker
0x8d4b123f43368f6ec14552dcf20f8096ee83030c
- Realised P&L
- $-42.71
- Volume
- $66.5k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $59.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.64at 0.025Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$109.11at 0.018Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$28.33at 0.150Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?
- +$17.25at 0.135Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
- +$-1.00at 0.013Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | BUY | 0.0049413462 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:34 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:28 | Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 22:27 | NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | BUY | 0.0451068821 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:20 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.2901999478 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 22:17 | Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999963 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:17 | Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:17 | Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:15 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 22:15 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0779197241 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:15 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:13 | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 22:12 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:10 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |