PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LuckyMaker

0x8d4b123f43368f6ec14552dcf20f8096ee83030c

Realised P&L
$-42.71
Volume
$66.5k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$59.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:36Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?BUY0.0049413462$1.00
09-30 22:34US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.0459999988$1.00
09-30 22:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0459999988$1.00
09-30 22:28Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?BUY0.0699999998$6.00
09-30 22:27NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?BUY0.0451068821$1.00
09-30 22:20Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?BUY0.2901999478$10.00
09-30 22:17Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 22, 2026?BUY0.0659999963$1.00
09-30 22:17Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 21, 2026?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-30 22:17Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 20, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-30 22:15Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-30 22:15Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0779197241$1.00
09-30 22:15Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027?BUY0.05$1.00
09-30 22:13Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberBUY0.1199999976$2.00
09-30 22:12Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?BUY0.0489999982$1.00
09-30 22:10Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00