PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8d2e777cbe11109c8afe52438f881b5d5441f022

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$102.0k
Markets traded
640
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded640
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 14:56Exact Score: FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?BUY0.14$19.31
08-03 14:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3?BUY0.25$2.00
08-01 12:07Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.66$13.27
08-01 12:07Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 1?BUY0.02$1.15
07-27 15:06Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.33$15.90
07-07 15:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?BUY0.1054554875$6.72
07-07 15:55Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.1$21.05
07-07 15:51Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.1$21.05
07-06 20:17Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 7?BUY0.77$18.89
07-06 20:16Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 6?BUY0.2033255724$5.24
07-06 20:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 6?BUY0.06550451$6.39
07-06 20:13Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 6?BUY0.0659325$5.27
07-06 14:48Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.1$21.05
07-06 14:47Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?BUY0.12$20.87
07-06 14:36Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.31$20.33