0x8d2e777cbe11109c8afe52438f881b5d5441f022
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $102.0k
- Markets traded
- 640
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded640
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$334.16at 0.056Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$289.22at 0.060Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$272.48at 0.060Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?
- +$189.47at 0.100Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?
- +$180.00at 0.100Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:56 | Exact Score: FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk? | BUY | 0.14 | $19.31 |
| 08-03 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.27 |
| 08-01 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.15 |
| 07-27 15:06 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.33 | $15.90 |
| 07-07 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7? | BUY | 0.1054554875 | $6.72 |
| 07-07 15:55 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.05 |
| 07-07 15:51 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.05 |
| 07-06 20:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.77 | $18.89 |
| 07-06 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.2033255724 | $5.24 |
| 07-06 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 6? | BUY | 0.06550451 | $6.39 |
| 07-06 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.0659325 | $5.27 |
| 07-06 14:48 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.05 |
| 07-06 14:47 | Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.12 | $20.87 |
| 07-06 14:36 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $20.33 |