PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8D2cfe1fBDB7EC847e505034708fC3C7e5eA878D-1775352811383

0x8d2cfe1fbdb7ec847e505034708fc3c7e5ea878d

Realised P&L
$-19.41
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$69.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.2490.871$34.99+$25.00
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.5390.905$13.44+$5.44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? · Yes0.2270.210$11.08$0.92
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.5900.935$5.44+$2.01
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? · No0.6800.915$2.69+$0.69
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7000.920$1.31+$0.31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.3030.046$0.46$2.54
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.3000.018$0.43$6.57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.00
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens0.3600.000$0.00$2.00
Lightning vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.4900.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? · No0.6000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.5990.000$0.00$8.86
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.6800.000$0.00$3.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? · No0.4400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 07:18Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?BUY0.68$2.00
08-13 07:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6699999732$4.00
08-13 07:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$0.84
08-13 07:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6799999637$3.00
08-13 07:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.32$0.55
08-03 02:32Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
08-03 02:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.589999882$1.50
08-03 02:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.579999826$1.00
07-14 14:20Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.217$2.71
07-06 00:38Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.054$3.38
07-06 00:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.998$5.54
06-26 00:23Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.032$2.00
06-10 01:41Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?BUY0.6999999767$3.00
06-06 03:06US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.78$3.00
06-06 03:06US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.929999993$4.00