0x8D2cfe1fBDB7EC847e505034708fC3C7e5eA878D-1775352811383
0x8d2cfe1fbdb7ec847e505034708fc3c7e5ea878d
- Realised P&L
- $-19.41
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $69.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.42at 0.393Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$7.24at 0.410MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.52at 0.393Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
- +$5.12at 0.497Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$3.89at 0.090Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 07:18 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 07:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $4.00 |
| 08-13 07:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.84 |
| 08-13 07:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 07:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.55 |
| 08-03 02:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.589999882 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 14:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.217 | $2.71 |
| 07-06 00:38 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.054 | $3.38 |
| 07-06 00:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.54 |
| 06-26 00:23 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 01:41 | Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 06-06 03:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.00 |
| 06-06 03:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.929999993 | $4.00 |