0x8cc21C6ac286409D24Dad291Ac50D86339b264dE-1774538885082
0x8cc21c6ac286409d24dad291ac50d86339b264de
- Realised P&L
- $-887.19
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $556.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.255 | $426.03 | +$126.03 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.055 | $103.77 | −$154.23 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.053 | $27.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Russian strike on Poland by June 30? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.00 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 16:50 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1589803079 | $81.00 |
| 04-12 16:49 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.096584685 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 16:48 | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | BUY | 0.066196206 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 16:10 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 16:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 15:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 15:04 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999992 | $158.00 |
| 04-06 15:00 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 14:57 | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $105.00 |
| 04-06 14:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1795647724 | $300.00 |
| 04-06 14:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.074344062 | $200.00 |