0x8Ca96cA2380b1A61939875EE3D2162ef69703e6C-1762978689946
0x8ca96ca2380b1a61939875ee3d2162ef69703e6c
- Realised P&L
- $17.46
- Volume
- $882.90
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $12.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.43at 0.450Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
- +$6.45at 0.285Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
- +$3.74at 0.782Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
- +$3.30at 0.340Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?
- +$3.30at 0.340Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-13 19:59 | Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026) | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 01-10 14:18 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 01-09 17:14 | Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026? | BUY | 0.1749998775 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 20:00 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 01-03 19:58 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 01-02 21:30 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 01-02 21:29 | Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 21:12 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 01-01 19:08 | Clavicular charged by Jan 31? | SELL | 0.973 | $3.24 |
| 12-31 16:31 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999541 | $4.00 |
| 12-29 21:03 | Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Opener of the Year award | SELL | 0.9 | $2.12 |
| 12-26 17:59 | Clavicular charged by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 12-23 16:54 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 12-21 19:50 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 12-21 19:50 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.10 |