PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8c7b62b41dc15f8897a27aa7d384f6d206a1bf56

Realised P&L
$-27.26
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
963
Open portfolio
$47.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded963
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$4.77$0.07
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$4.72$0.12
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.964$4.67$0.17
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$4.64$0.20
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.890$4.31$0.53
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9991.000$4.21+$0.00
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · No0.9890.989$4.04+$0.00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? · No0.9990.999$2.87+$0.00
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20? · No0.9980.998$2.87$0.00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? · No0.9950.994$2.87$0.00
Will Artysh Irgit win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections? · No0.9990.996$2.86$0.01
Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? · Yes0.9990.995$2.86$0.01
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9990.279$1.35$3.49
Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? · No0.9880.000$0.00$3.31
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9990.000$0.00$4.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 05:57XRP Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ETBUY0.999$2.87
09-21 05:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ETBUY0.9819999966$2.87
09-21 04:56XRP Up or Down - September 21, 12AM ETBUY0.99$2.87
09-21 03:57Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20?BUY0.998$2.87
09-21 02:57XRP Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ETBUY0.999$2.87
09-21 01:57XRP Up or Down - September 20, 9PM ETBUY0.999$2.87
09-21 00:01Will Artysh Irgit win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?BUY0.999$2.87
09-20 19:57Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?BUY0.9989999558$2.87
09-20 11:57Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?BUY0.995$2.87
09-20 11:57Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.999$2.87
09-20 08:57XRP Up or Down - September 20, 4AM ETBUY0.999$2.87
09-20 06:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ETBUY0.9809999973$2.86
09-20 05:57Solana Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ETBUY0.99$2.86
09-20 04:57BNB Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ETBUY0.99$2.86
09-20 04:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ETBUY0.99$2.86