tacowaco
0x8be8c6e332ecf2c0b55dfc3008339d50203923aa
- Realised P&L
- $-667.04
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $179.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.00at 0.200Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
- +$126.84at 0.136Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$100.41at 0.747Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$90.00at 0.400Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?
- +$72.58at 0.669US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 18:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 18:00 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 13:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 10:01 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.1209302291 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 11:52 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 11:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 23:13 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.16233264 | $20.29 |
| 07-15 21:51 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 08:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $68.06 |
| 07-10 15:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0445313087 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 17:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 17:57 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 17:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 11:00 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0489999985 | $30.00 |
| 06-27 02:25 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.025 | $28.57 |