PolyBot

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Traders

tacowaco

0x8be8c6e332ecf2c0b55dfc3008339d50203923aa

Realised P&L
$-667.04
Volume
$31.4k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$179.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1010.065$83.83−$46.16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1540.175$79.69+$9.69
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.038$15.99−$34.01
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$80.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$20.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00−$103.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? · No0.1890.000$0.00−$15.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$10.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$5.00
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00−$84.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$7.00
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00−$115.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 18:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1399999999$20.00
09-23 18:00Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.0599999999$20.00
08-18 13:36Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.08$30.00
08-02 10:01Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.1209302291$30.00
08-01 11:52US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
08-01 11:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
07-18 23:13Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.16233264$20.29
07-15 21:51Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.16$20.00
07-11 08:59Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$68.06
07-10 15:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0445313087$10.00
07-09 17:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
07-09 17:57US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.4799999952$20.00
07-09 17:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$50.00
07-09 11:00Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0489999985$30.00
06-27 02:25Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.025$28.57