PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

johnjdj

0x8bc054ae12cee321e9caeee559e6ec2e03df47e5

Realised P&L
$-635.41
Volume
$39.6k
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$983.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.8900.994$259.35+$27.06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7680.857$128.47+$13.24
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.9540.966$120.75+$1.48
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.3270.295$67.85−$7.25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1740.165$47.41−$2.59
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8850.978$44.18+$4.18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.365$32.68−$1.33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3920.055$28.89−$176.94
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0690.009$28.35−$202.45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No0.9350.941$28.21+$0.17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8500.895$26.84+$1.35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0700.095$24.70+$6.50
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.957$19.12+$0.83
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2420.215$18.27−$2.27
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0640.966$15.09+$14.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 10:02Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.764$22.92
10-04 10:01Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.893$44.65
10-04 08:56Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.639$63.90
09-12 21:11Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.007$0.23
09-12 21:03Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.001$1.02
09-12 15:05Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.1443$7.22
08-20 19:06Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?BUY0.8388$83.88
08-20 19:03Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.8585$85.85
07-26 15:19Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.9070159368$20.00
07-25 18:23Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.8599999986$50.00
07-25 18:22Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.0289999989$25.00
07-25 18:18Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.7799999979$15.00
07-25 13:28Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.0089999947$1.69
07-25 13:27Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.699999993$10.00
07-25 13:26Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.0549999832$3.00