johnjdj
0x8bc054ae12cee321e9caeee559e6ec2e03df47e5
- Realised P&L
- $-635.41
- Volume
- $39.6k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $983.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.06at 0.566Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
- +$120.38at 0.459Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$117.18at 0.300Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$105.19at 0.619Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$95.45at 0.440Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 10:02 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.764 | $22.92 |
| 10-04 10:01 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.893 | $44.65 |
| 10-04 08:56 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.639 | $63.90 |
| 09-12 21:11 | Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.23 |
| 09-12 21:03 | Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.02 |
| 09-12 15:05 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1443 | $7.22 |
| 08-20 19:06 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8388 | $83.88 |
| 08-20 19:03 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8585 | $85.85 |
| 07-26 15:19 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9070159368 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 18:23 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 18:22 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0289999989 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 18:18 | Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 13:28 | Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0089999947 | $1.69 |
| 07-25 13:27 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 13:26 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0549999832 | $3.00 |