0x8b71010f8D18CccE16a37434778117EE2d6b8044-1735105889785
0x8b71010f8d18ccce16a37434778117ee2d6b8044
- Realised P&L
- $58.3k
- Volume
- $4.95M
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $207.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.0kat 0.143Bulls vs. Nuggets
- +$28.8kat 0.134US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$24.9kat 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.8kat 0.290Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- +$17.8kat 0.290Rockets vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 13:29 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.7k |
| 08-20 13:05 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.1k |
| 07-27 18:03 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.0k |
| 07-27 18:01 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.269 | $2.2k |
| 07-22 10:55 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $198.09 |
| 07-22 10:54 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7031407942 | $447.97 |
| 07-20 11:08 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.2k |
| 07-20 10:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $300.54 |
| 07-20 10:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $1.2k |
| 07-20 10:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $1.2k |
| 07-20 10:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $265.41 |
| 07-20 10:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.9580525959 | $3.9k |
| 07-20 10:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.24 | $331.64 |
| 07-20 10:43 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.1k |
| 07-20 10:42 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.4k |