PolyBot

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Traders

0x8b71010f8D18CccE16a37434778117EE2d6b8044-1735105889785

0x8b71010f8d18ccce16a37434778117ee2d6b8044

Realised P&L
$58.3k
Volume
$4.95M
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$207.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8530.945$62.7k+$6.1k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7990.935$30.2k+$4.4k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9010.945$25.2k+$1.2k
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9410.974$20.1k+$673.14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8830.935$16.0k+$885.37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9090.950$10.9k+$470.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7700.935$6.6k+$1.2k
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · No0.9460.960$5.2k+$74.98
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No0.8090.957$4.7k+$722.28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9320.975$4.6k+$200.77
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3370.305$3.8k$395.36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.595$3.5k+$915.93
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · No0.9490.994$3.1k+$142.29
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3900.075$2.8k$11.7k
Will Trump resign before 2027? · No0.9310.968$2.3k+$85.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 13:29Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$7.7k
08-20 13:05US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.94$5.1k
07-27 18:03US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.88$2.0k
07-27 18:01Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.269$2.2k
07-22 10:55Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$198.09
07-22 10:54Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7031407942$447.97
07-20 11:08Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$6.2k
07-20 10:57Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.959$300.54
07-20 10:57Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.959$1.2k
07-20 10:57Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.959$1.2k
07-20 10:57Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.959$265.41
07-20 10:57Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.9580525959$3.9k
07-20 10:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.24$331.64
07-20 10:43Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.9$14.1k
07-20 10:42US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.88$3.4k