MrMartell
0x8b44f04bdc874824af5422fc0da3cf25413933b0
- Realised P&L
- $-116.35
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.80at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$98.00at 0.510Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$60.80at 0.680Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$51.00at 0.490Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.48at 0.670Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 08-04 12:45 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 08-04 12:41 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 08-04 12:21 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 12:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.54 | $18.09 |
| 08-04 12:05 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 08-04 11:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 08-04 11:27 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.731 | $233.92 |
| 07-25 16:07 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1792 | $89.60 |
| 07-22 18:30 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $76.59 |
| 07-22 18:25 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 07-13 19:33 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3275 | $81.88 |
| 07-13 19:24 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4125 | $103.13 |
| 07-07 18:20 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.63 | $189.00 |
| 07-06 16:16 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.62 | $99.20 |