PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8B171f3A09CFA4050A94105Ad34B161ED6e7cb13-1762702027286

0x8b171f3a09cfa4050a94105ad34b161ed6e7cb13

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$159.7k
Markets traded
458
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded458
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7240.952$413.74+$98.97
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.6970.945$337.00+$88.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7580.979$264.72+$59.74
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1070.041$20.40−$32.68
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1720.049$19.76−$49.50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2710.055$17.15−$67.26
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8810.967$13.91+$1.23
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.3500.810$7.04+$4.00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1300.009$1.11−$14.94
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.105$1.00−$3.56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8240.034$0.33−$7.75
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0270.001$0.15−$7.93
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0600.004$0.13−$2.07
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7000.053$0.06−$0.76
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A · LiXO eSports0.4500.000$0.00−$227.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 02:59Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$241.90
05-22 09:39Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$26.80
05-22 08:29Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.15$0.84
05-21 07:30Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.304$1.52
05-21 07:24Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.304$1.28
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-18 14:42Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL0.29$9.74
04-25 13:51SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL0.0819172703$21.49
04-21 10:31US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.75$2.33
04-15 08:37No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.35$11.34
04-12 16:04Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$1.39
04-11 14:32Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.005$1.36