PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8B171f3A09CFA4050A94105Ad34B161ED6e7cb13-1762702027286

0x8b171f3a09cfa4050a94105ad34b161ed6e7cb13

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$159.7k
Markets traded
458
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded458
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7240.870$378.10+$63.34
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.6970.925$329.86+$81.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7580.895$242.01+$37.02
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.0200.170$116.36+$102.79
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1070.068$33.59$19.49
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1720.058$23.39$45.87
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1300.180$22.23+$6.17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2710.065$20.27$64.15
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8810.855$12.30$0.37
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.8330.954$10.11+$1.28
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.3500.795$6.91+$3.87
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0270.005$1.48$6.59
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8240.113$1.10$6.97
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.095$0.90$3.66
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7000.495$0.58$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 02:59Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$241.90
05-22 09:39Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$26.80
05-22 08:29Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.15$0.84
05-21 07:30Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.304$1.52
05-21 07:24Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.304$1.28
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-21 06:59Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.006$0.03
05-18 14:42Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL0.29$9.74
04-25 13:51SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL0.0819172703$21.49
04-21 10:31US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.75$2.33
04-15 08:37No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.35$11.34
04-12 16:04Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$1.39
04-11 14:32Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.005$1.36