PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Seabstian

0x8afb497a000951148f26142d4d37c69234711adf

Realised P&L
$-17.62
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$124.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 15:38Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0589999984$1.00
10-17 15:38Will Lars Klingbeil be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0133324445$1.00
10-17 15:38Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0569999989$2.00
10-17 15:37Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-17 15:37Will Julia Klöckner be the next President of Germany?BUY0.1079999991$3.00
10-17 15:37Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?BUY0.2$5.00
10-17 15:36Will Udo Di Fabio be the next President of Germany?BUY0.0829999984$3.00
06-18 15:26Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-18 15:26Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-15 17:36Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$1.00
06-15 17:36Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023999977$1.00
06-15 17:36Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$1.00
06-15 17:36Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$1.00
06-15 17:36Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$1.00
06-15 17:35Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999831$1.00