Seabstian
0x8afb497a000951148f26142d4d37c69234711adf
- Realised P&L
- $-17.62
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $124.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.36at 0.007Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$119.69at 0.590Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
- +$59.50at 0.650Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
- +$54.68at 0.158Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$45.56at 0.180Israel military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:38 | Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:38 | Will Lars Klingbeil be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0133324445 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:38 | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 15:37 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:37 | Will Julia Klöckner be the next President of Germany? | BUY | 0.1079999991 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 15:37 | Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:36 | Will Udo Di Fabio be the next President of Germany? | BUY | 0.0829999984 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 15:26 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 15:26 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 17:36 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:36 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:36 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:36 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:36 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:35 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |