PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

as141sa

0x8afa7d5e0f289b85b2bc89dd5ef6be39fc5b1265

Realised P&L
$-479.50
Volume
$36.0k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$321.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9160.958$51.70+$2.24
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No0.9650.992$33.71+$0.90
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2400.055$33.00$111.00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9300.958$28.73+$0.82
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? · No0.9941.000$28.45+$0.17
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? · No0.9901.000$26.80+$0.27
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? · No0.9200.945$25.52+$0.68
JD Vance out as VP by June 15? · No0.9971.000$24.50+$0.07
JD Vance out as VP by June 30? · No0.9931.000$21.00+$0.15
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? · No0.8001.000$20.00+$4.00
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · No0.8900.930$13.95+$0.60
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8130.867$11.19+$0.69
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.4130.046$1.80$14.16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1850.045$1.36$4.18
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · No0.4000.000$0.00$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 08:59Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.92$24.84
06-07 08:59JD Vance out as VP by June 15?BUY0.997$24.43
06-07 08:59JD Vance out as VP by June 30?BUY0.993$20.85
06-07 08:59Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?BUY0.99$26.53
05-30 09:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.997$29.10
05-30 09:06Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?BUY0.985$26.59
05-30 09:04Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?BUY0.994$28.28
05-05 04:18Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?BUY0.53$9.24
05-05 04:17Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY0.997$19.94
05-05 04:15Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BUY0.89$13.35
05-05 04:14Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.413$15.96
04-29 18:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.4599999844$10.00
03-08 00:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$77.76
03-08 00:04Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.041$1.09
03-08 00:02Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.916$49.46