poonpc
0x8ab5b77253e3d72511879d9335cb67e39ea3991e
- Realised P&L
- $0.42
- Volume
- $118.10
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $94.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.905 | $19.46 | −$0.54 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.987 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.969 | $10.10 | +$0.10 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.972 | $9.97 | −$0.03 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.958 | $9.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.777 | $8.07 | −$1.93 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.610 | $7.09 | −$2.91 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.830 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.905 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.865 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.885 | $4.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.42at 0.960US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 04:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 15:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.8799998733 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:58 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 11:24 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 15:38 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 15:34 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 03:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 03:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 03:14 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 09:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |