Desconocido
0x8ab4dd8886adea2c33ee4b8b02756a0c40cf9bd9
- Realised P&L
- $-260.71
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $159.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.85at 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.12at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down on December 3?
- +$17.00at 0.685Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$8.92at 0.570First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$8.82at 0.612Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 10:42 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 10:40 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8549999829 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 16:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5199999293 | $2.94 |
| 09-03 16:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 16:34 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 16:33 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 16:32 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1759999331 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 16:31 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.9659996864 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 16:28 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 11:52 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.1029999168 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 11:52 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.5129999866 | $5.00 |
| 02-13 10:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $0.98 |
| 02-13 10:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $2.91 |
| 02-13 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.97 |
| 02-13 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.81 |