PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8a430d677a47b78a932d80df3e65860ca79cb16c

Realised P&L
$-0.86
Volume
$67.48
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$9.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.6500.655$1.01+$0.01
Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes0.9500.947$1.00$0.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.9300.925$0.99$0.01
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9560.945$0.99$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.830$0.99$0.01
Will Penn State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.5300.520$0.98$0.02
Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? · No0.8600.840$0.98$0.02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.840$0.97$0.03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5500.495$0.90$0.10
T20 Asian Games, Women: Japan vs India · Japan0.0180.006$0.33$0.67

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:57Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9559991817$1.00
09-17 12:56Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-17 12:53Will Penn State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-17 12:53T20 Asian Games, Women: Japan vs IndiaBUY0.0179999999$1.00
09-17 12:53Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?BUY0.94999962$1.00
09-17 12:28Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-17 12:15Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?BUY0.859999914$1.00
09-17 11:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-17 10:16Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-17 08:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$1.00