0x8a430d677a47b78a932d80df3e65860ca79cb16c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.86
- Volume
- $67.48
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.655 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.947 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.925 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.945 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.830 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Penn State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No | 0.530 | 0.520 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? · No | 0.860 | 0.840 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.840 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.550 | 0.495 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| T20 Asian Games, Women: Japan vs India · Japan | 0.018 | 0.006 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:57 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9559991817 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:56 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:53 | Will Penn State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:53 | T20 Asian Games, Women: Japan vs India | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:53 | Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:28 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:15 | Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 10:16 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |