PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfb784B1FfAe0005e640726582F7731EaA2f06dA6-1767013771631

0x8a3f4b0c93dd2fe3876b6a592942d739c4ae83f6

Realised P&L
$-18.79
Volume
$334.45
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$52.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9500.960$6.06+$0.06
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.9000.955$5.31+$0.31
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.895$5.03+$0.03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9820.987$5.02+$0.02
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9790.982$5.01+$0.01
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9660.962$2.99−$0.01
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.7230.850$2.35+$0.35
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.945$1.99−$0.01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6200.865$1.40+$0.40
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8000.925$1.16+$0.16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.972$1.10+$0.10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2700.295$1.09+$0.09
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · No0.9000.958$1.06+$0.06
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9360.971$1.04+$0.04
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9590.990$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 08:28Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-06 02:54Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?BUY0.96$1.00
10-04 13:11Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
10-04 13:07Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-01 11:33Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.7179998248$1.00
10-01 11:32Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.87$13.07
10-01 11:30Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.88$13.22
09-28 11:49Trump renames AI by December 31?BUY0.8$1.00
09-24 06:37Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$2.00
09-23 03:51Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-23 03:49NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-15 04:46Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9499999208$6.00
09-15 04:42U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.899999928$5.00
09-11 06:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-11 04:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.9839998347$3.00