0xfb784B1FfAe0005e640726582F7731EaA2f06dA6-1767013771631
0x8a3f4b0c93dd2fe3876b6a592942d739c4ae83f6
- Realised P&L
- $-18.79
- Volume
- $334.45
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $52.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.90at 0.206Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $88 in August?
- +$1.06at 0.490Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
- +$0.86at 0.542Rockets vs. Mavericks
- +$0.63at 0.960Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
- +$0.52at 0.660Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 08:28 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:54 | Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 13:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 13:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:33 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7179998248 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.07 |
| 10-01 11:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $13.22 |
| 09-28 11:49 | Trump renames AI by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:37 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 03:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:49 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:46 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 04:42 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.899999928 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 06:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.9839998347 | $3.00 |