PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8a37e37b388272bf69cb24f7b7d2b6ad47339169

Realised P&L
$1.16
Volume
$351.00
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$24.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.845$6.76$0.60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.9000.885$2.65$0.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.2080.155$2.48$0.85
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.2400.250$2.25+$0.09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.8300.740$2.22$0.27
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.6700.725$2.17+$0.17
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.5500.340$1.70$1.05
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.2100.120$1.20$0.90
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.155$1.08$0.45
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.4300.305$0.92$0.38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9000.875$0.88$0.03
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.0600.021$0.02$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 05:38Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?SELL0.925$5.55
09-19 04:59Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.903$5.42
09-18 17:56Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.55$2.75
09-18 16:48Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.23$2.07
09-17 21:16Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.81$5.67
09-17 13:19US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.7$4.90
09-17 13:18Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.95$6.65
09-17 11:26Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.18$1.62
09-17 05:28US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?SELL0.85$2.55
09-17 04:51Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.24$2.16
09-16 18:00Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.98$5.88
09-16 17:46Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.89$5.34
09-16 13:03Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?SELL0.91$0.91
09-16 11:12Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.8$1.60
09-16 10:42Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.43$1.29