0x8a37e37b388272bf69cb24f7b7d2b6ad47339169
- Realised P&L
- $1.16
- Volume
- $351.00
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $24.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.42at 0.131Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
- +$0.76at 0.899Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$0.46at 0.402U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
- +$0.31at 0.187Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
- +$0.20at 0.902Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 05:38 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | SELL | 0.925 | $5.55 |
| 09-19 04:59 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.903 | $5.42 |
| 09-18 17:56 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-18 16:48 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.07 |
| 09-17 21:16 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.67 |
| 09-17 13:19 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.90 |
| 09-17 13:18 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 09-17 11:26 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.62 |
| 09-17 05:28 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 04:51 | Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.16 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.34 |
| 09-16 13:03 | Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.91 |
| 09-16 11:12 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.60 |
| 09-16 10:42 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |