cb33
0x89f4faef7dc5f89c1bf34eb2dd7dc63c0d5b6950
- Realised P&L
- $-53.77
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 412
- Open portfolio
- $143.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded412
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.76at 0.243Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?
- +$78.47at 0.253Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?
- +$63.34at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?
- +$31.30at 0.292Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
- +$25.05at 0.384Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.70 |
| 08-02 15:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 08-02 15:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 08-02 15:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 08-02 14:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.62 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7899995803 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7899995803 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7899995803 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7899995803 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7899999704 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7862087484 | $16.59 |
| 08-02 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.23 |