PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cb33

0x89f4faef7dc5f89c1bf34eb2dd7dc63c0d5b6950

Realised P&L
$-53.77
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
412
Open portfolio
$143.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded412
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9500.951$38.02+$0.02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5970.469$34.54$9.38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9150.395$20.37$26.80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? · No0.7561.000$15.99+$3.89
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.9000.875$8.85$0.25
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7360.725$7.29$0.11
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.075$4.52$0.63
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1300.065$2.76$2.77
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.1900.175$2.76$0.24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.205$2.54$1.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.5601.000$2.07+$0.91
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1850.168$1.94$0.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.7000.315$1.92$2.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.88$4.40
08-03 06:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.7$7.70
08-02 15:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$1.82
08-02 15:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$1.82
08-02 15:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$1.82
08-02 15:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$1.82
08-02 14:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$1.82
08-02 08:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.8$1.62
08-02 08:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.7899995803$1.60
08-02 08:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.7899995803$1.60
08-02 08:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.7899995803$1.60
08-02 08:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.7899995803$1.60
08-02 08:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.7899999704$1.60
08-02 08:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.7862087484$16.59
08-02 06:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.4$1.23