cb33
0x89f4faef7dc5f89c1bf34eb2dd7dc63c0d5b6950
- Realised P&L
- $-113.09
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $14.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.700 | 0.795 | $4.84 | +$0.58 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $3.04 | +$0.46 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.165 | $2.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.175 | $2.17 | −$1.55 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.026 | $1.60 | −$3.56 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.92 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.78at 0.253Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?
- +$77.47at 0.263Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?
- +$62.22at 0.343Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?
- +$45.13at 0.497Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
- +$30.84at 0.302Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 08:17 | Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group A | BUY | 0.5 | $14.79 |
| 08-27 08:17 | Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group A | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 08-27 08:17 | Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group A | BUY | 0.4699999592 | $1.96 |
| 08-26 16:41 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-26 15:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8699998451 | $2.64 |
| 08-26 15:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8399999802 | $1.70 |
| 08-26 15:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8299999901 | $3.36 |
| 08-26 14:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8599997825 | $1.74 |
| 08-26 13:00 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998277 | $1.28 |
| 08-24 21:52 | Game Spread: Djere (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999933 | $36.40 |
| 08-24 19:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9199999802 | $1.86 |
| 08-24 18:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August? | BUY | 0.8309999606 | $2.55 |
| 08-24 17:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8199999802 | $2.49 |
| 08-24 17:54 | Will Solana dip to $80 in August? | BUY | 0.9299999967 | $2.82 |
| 08-24 17:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8099999473 | $2.46 |