PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HaileyTamb

0x89cb1b6fe7fca7fdd6191714ef0c73137ea460d8

Realised P&L
$212.87
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$68.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9160.958$20.91+$0.91
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9880.999$10.11+$0.11
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9880.990$10.02+$0.02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · No0.9950.993$9.97$0.03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$5.10+$0.10
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.982$3.17+$0.17
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9580.974$2.03+$0.03
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9900.986$1.99$0.01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7100.918$1.29+$0.29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.959$1.17+$0.17
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8900.955$1.07+$0.07
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? · No0.9610.929$0.97$0.03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8320.600$0.72$0.28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8320.000$0.00$2.00
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 09:20Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
08-10 02:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8319999135$1.00
07-22 01:25Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
06-27 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.429999828$1.00
06-10 06:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
06-10 06:26Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10?SELL0.69$33.49
06-10 06:26Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?SELL0.57$68.37
06-10 03:30Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5$1.00
05-30 02:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8319999834$2.00
05-27 02:09Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299997985$3.00
05-19 12:46Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres BurruchagaBUY0.8599999656$2.00
05-19 12:46Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?BUY0.9609996723$1.00
05-04 04:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.9829999971$3.00
05-01 12:00Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.9579998094$2.00
05-01 11:59Counter-Strike: GenOne vs The Last Resort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group StageBUY0.889999911$1.00