h-hu
0x8999db4efd5ba7f3f554f7d16459d57844f606d7
- Realised P&L
- $-515.95
- Volume
- $263.5k
- Markets traded
- 736
- Open portfolio
- $217.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded736
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.49at 0.282Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$219.54at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$206.34at 0.090Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$94.21at 0.083Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$86.42at 0.123Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 12:41 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $32.68 |
| 04-05 12:40 | Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%? | SELL | 0.993 | $36.58 |
| 03-26 21:30 | Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.0328065956 | $4.56 |
| 03-26 21:29 | Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 21:27 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 21:26 | Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31? | BUY | 0.01991976 | $4.98 |
| 03-26 21:23 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 21:22 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.0964582517 | $4.92 |
| 03-26 21:17 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 21:16 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.0166599912 | $4.90 |
| 03-26 21:14 | Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 21:12 | Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.046 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 21:11 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 21:09 | Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.002989668 | $4.98 |
| 03-26 21:08 | Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |