blisni
0x891c78dd395fe24ad2148c64377fdabe5cf1e455
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $45.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,747
- Open portfolio
- $460.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,747
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.95at 0.767Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$226.03at 0.780Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$185.38at 0.799Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$153.69at 0.692Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$146.21at 0.780Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-11 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-09 11:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 07:38 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6620869282 | $122.02 |
| 10-08 01:17 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6815160051 | $831.00 |
| 10-07 19:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 10-07 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-04 15:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-03 11:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-02 15:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.959 | $4.79 |
| 10-02 03:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on October 1? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 10-01 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-30 13:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 09-28 17:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 28? | SELL | 0.856 | $4.28 |
| 09-28 16:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.965 | $4.83 |