0x88cec6f39049ae105203aad95fdac5f81e6a3a36
0x88cec6f39049ae105203aad95fdac5f81e6a3a36
- Realised P&L
- $-54.53
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $63.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.26at 0.353Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$70.00at 0.300Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
- +$61.29at 0.490Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$48.09at 0.563 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$31.36at 0.494Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 18:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999808 | $6.90 |
| 09-01 18:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2565916197 | $7.00 |
| 09-01 18:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999839 | $4.00 |
| 09-01 18:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.0269326619 | $4.00 |
| 09-01 18:49 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $17.97 |
| 08-26 12:50 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.011999997 | $4.00 |
| 08-26 12:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 12:28 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5519999762 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 12:22 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-26 12:19 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.4117646865 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 09:26 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0224482155 | $3.00 |
| 08-20 07:09 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:59 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.913 | $19.02 |
| 08-03 18:03 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $4.25 |
| 08-01 15:22 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999915 | $18.65 |