PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

almost-never

0x88b59d79b6e1659c95a0043028e5bb7a26e6205c

Realised P&L
$90.8k
Volume
$11.75M
Markets traded
356
Open portfolio
$281.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded356
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.800$208.1k+$78.1k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.200$51.9k−$78.1k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8000.925$10.2k+$1.4k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5960.665$7.5k+$781.96
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8760.990$2.5k+$285.00
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8920.990$1.2k+$120.04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8000.925$277.50+$37.50
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.9900.995$130.90+$0.59
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.2020.281$127.96+$36.03
Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.0600.033$2.93−$2.53
Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.0230.005$0.85−$3.09
Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? · Yes0.0200.009$0.16−$0.22
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.6k
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 22:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9696061479$151.40
10-04 22:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9747341348$1.1k
10-04 21:54Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.95$6.3k
10-04 21:47Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.945$274.05
10-04 21:46Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.95$13.0k
10-04 21:38Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.89$17.80
10-04 21:37Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.89$178.34
10-04 21:33Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.92$9.20
10-04 21:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9$108.00
10-04 21:27Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.9$5.4k
10-04 21:20Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.87$791.11
10-04 21:12Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.88$2.9k
10-04 21:07Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.88$6.7k
10-04 21:03Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.88$927.78
10-04 21:01Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.8993781925$12.7k