1centYes
0x888efebcf61b6fd2186c81b0b3c600d733eeb1a6
- Realised P&L
- $-568.49
- Volume
- $409.2k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $362.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.14at 0.007Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.33at 0.006Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$7.00at 0.002Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
- +$7.00at 0.009Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$6.00at 0.002Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 14:18 | Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 14:16 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.00 |
| 07-28 14:16 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.67 |
| 07-28 14:15 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 07-28 14:14 | Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 07-28 14:13 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $7.00 |
| 07-28 14:13 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $27.14 |
| 04-17 18:39 | Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 18:37 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 18:30 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0099579859 | $19.00 |
| 04-17 18:29 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $19.00 |
| 04-17 18:27 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.10 |
| 04-17 18:27 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $19.00 |
| 04-17 18:25 | Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $18.00 |
| 04-17 18:23 | Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |