Jfownsk
0x886f7e2516710ad04b458012636b3766e13795aa
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $46.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.893Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$829.80at 0.983Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
- +$629.62at 0.976Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
- +$484.89at 0.852Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
- +$461.77at 0.991Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 17:08 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 10-16 17:07 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 10-16 17:00 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 10-16 17:00 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 10-14 19:44 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.9 | $900.00 |
| 10-14 19:41 | Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 10-12 16:57 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.9880840667 | $296.43 |
| 10-12 16:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | SELL | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 10-11 13:54 | Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026? | BUY | 0.3987742388 | $45.45 |
| 10-10 09:19 | Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.93 | $531.10 |
| 10-07 05:02 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.86 | $3.4k |
| 10-01 05:41 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.85 | $7.2k |
| 10-01 05:37 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.5k |
| 10-01 05:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $192.00 |
| 09-30 08:57 | Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9605308219 | $173.89 |