PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mrtn08

0x8859b37cba475184ca073febac74c15c89bf22c0

Realised P&L
$808.88
Volume
$90.8k
Markets traded
322
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded322
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.795$318.00+$6.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1210.117$211.50$6.40
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8200.911$182.20+$18.10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6550.775$155.00+$24.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? · No0.9010.955$95.45+$5.35
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.7480.955$95.45+$20.65
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 · Over0.5800.700$7.02+$1.20
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.0660.063$4.31$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 19:03Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?SELL0.067$4.58
07-19 22:44Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.96$38.40
07-19 22:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$24.98
07-19 22:16Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$19.98
07-19 22:11Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?SELL0.999$29.96
07-19 21:56Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?SELL0.999$299.53
07-19 21:13Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.96$9.60
07-19 21:13Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.95$47.50
07-19 21:12Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.96$48.00
07-19 21:11Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.94$9.25
07-18 20:58Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.998$399.20
07-17 03:57Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.416$18.51
07-17 03:16Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.4$34.00
07-16 23:02Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.379$17.05
07-16 22:26Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.38$28.88