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Traders

mrtn08

0x8859b37cba475184ca073febac74c15c89bf22c0

Realised P&L
$775.37
Volume
$95.1k
Markets traded
343
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded343
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8000.835$501.00+$21.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.4201.000$199.90+$115.90
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8200.941$188.10+$24.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6550.860$172.00+$41.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1210.080$143.10$74.80
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.9150.891$106.98$2.77
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.9100.935$93.50+$2.50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8600.895$89.50+$3.50
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.7300.770$76.99+$4.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7600.765$76.50+$0.50
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.0660.061$4.20$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 17:27Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?BUY0.97$62.34
08-31 15:23Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?BUY0.98$98.00
08-31 04:49Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?BUY0.972$97.20
08-19 03:18Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?SELL0.0103$1.03
07-20 19:03Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?SELL0.067$4.58
07-19 22:44Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.96$38.40
07-19 22:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$24.98
07-19 22:16Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$19.98
07-19 22:11Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?SELL0.999$29.96
07-19 21:56Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?SELL0.999$299.53
07-19 21:13Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.96$9.60
07-19 21:13Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.95$47.50
07-19 21:12Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.96$48.00
07-19 21:11Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.94$9.25
07-18 20:58Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.998$399.20
Trader 0x8859…22c0 · PolyBot Pro