0x4c0EdbAb0ea9A05A4E01140478BDfFd2194F231E-1761706141471
0x87ff15e0c7a658a7f905abd152154f7eb634e6e8
- Realised P&L
- $-69.34
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $124.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.012 | $36.72 | −$1.46 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.170 | 0.165 | $33.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.880 | $22.28 | +$2.28 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.185 | $18.50 | −$11.50 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.025 | $14.22 | −$1.42 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.95at 0.718Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 02:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 10-07 02:35 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-07 02:29 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0129613788 | $33.16 |
| 10-07 02:27 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.01 |
| 10-07 02:20 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $13.96 |
| 10-07 02:19 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0265354331 | $1.69 |
| 09-10 19:27 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 02:37 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999978 | $73.96 |
| 08-27 22:36 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $15.00 |