PolyBot

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Traders

DrOetker

0x87bf94ad28ddf299bca77ef8fb2062481a543111

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.977$332.18+$29.58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9150.980$315.40+$20.77
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No0.9580.979$296.46+$6.23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.3490.851$254.30+$149.96
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9190.977$254.00+$14.96
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.8200.945$207.89+$27.50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8500.905$181.00+$11.00
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.9100.870$173.99−$8.00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.805$120.75+$3.75
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.705$105.75+$9.75
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain0.3380.000$0.00−$67.50
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 25, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$3.80
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$16.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 00:15Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.78$117.00
09-30 13:26Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.034$6.80
09-21 01:42Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on September 25, 2026?BUY0.8099999988$82.61
09-21 01:09Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on September 25, 2026?BUY0.8$64.00
09-20 20:33Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.011$0.66
09-20 16:29Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.8$56.00
09-20 16:11Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.011$0.32
09-20 16:03Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?SELL0.17$1.67
09-20 16:01Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?SELL0.2129926729$44.77
09-19 01:48Will Venezuela become 51st state?SELL0.976$98.57
09-18 22:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.93$8.53
09-16 17:43Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.13$7.80
09-14 02:59Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?BUY0.71$49.70
09-08 11:56Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.3$60.00
08-09 21:38Call of Duty: Team Heretics vs OpTic Gaming (BO9) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.139$4.67